How Will COVID-19 Affect MBA Admissions and Enrollment in 2020? Impact on Round 3 Waitlisted and International Applicants (Infographic)
Maria |
April 6, 2020

(Welcome! If you haven’t already seen my post on reasons I think you should go ahead and apply in round 3 / round 4 (“R3” / “R4”) in 2020, here it is: Should I apply to MBA programs in Round 3 (“R3”) due to Coronavirus / COVID-19?)

Summary / TL;DR: Depending on how things go in the next few months, we will either have “business as usual” with things back to normal, in which case the current R3 applicants will have wasted their time (but…no big deal in the grand scheme of things), OR we could have virtually NO international students on campus next year…the most DRAMATIC scenario here would be that schools need to fill 30%+ of their class that would have otherwise been taken up by international students. This would be devastating news for international candidates who had been planning to apply this upcoming (2020 – 2021) year, but would be amazingly good luck for domestic candidates who may currently be languishing on the wait list.  Of course, news about the virus is changing every day; these are my thoughts as of April 6, 2020.

Below, I tried to map out the different high-level ways the next 6 months or so might look in the MBA admissions world, given coronavirus / COVID-19.

In sum, there are a few key pivot points, namely:

  • Will some / all students be allowed on campus?
  • Will admitted students still want to attend, if the first semester (or beyond) will be done via “virtual” / online classes?
      • Note: in the event that classes go “virtual”, but that most admits say to themselves, “You know what? This isn’t perfect, but it’s better than nothing and I’ll enroll anyway”, then in essence the coronavirus will not have had any material impact (as can be seen in the lower left-hand corner of the diagram below)

Here’s the full diagram; a more detailed explanation is below:

INFOGRAPHIC that explains the impact that the coronavirus and covid-19 may have on MBA admissions and enrollment including waitlist and Round 3 applicants in 2020More detailed explanation of the above, from left to right:

“C-19 resolved by August”

What is meant by this scenario? 

By this, I mean: “Are things back to normal by August, in that all students who have been accepted are able to attend classes on campus”?

For this scenario to occur, two main things need to happen:

      1. Campuses need to “re-open” insofar as in-person classes will be available
      2. International students will need to be able to get visas, financing, and other logistics squared away in order to show up in time
What will the fall-out be? Who will win / lose?

Right now, everyone and their grandmother’s hair-dresser’s tiger-training boyfriend is desperately trying to throw together an application for Round 3. Should the coronavirus situation be “resolved” in time, then those herculean efforts might end up being for naught, since there won’t be many spaces left for the taking.

Also, people currently on the waitlist will lose, as the spots they are currently hoping will open up…might not materialize.

By when will we know if this will happen?

My understanding is that student visas can often be processed within 4 – 6 weeks, under ideal circumstances. Let’s assume that this is still true (even though in real life, should U.S. embassies and consulates open up in, say, July, presumably there will be an insane flood of visa applications and so let’s be honest — delays will probably happen).

So, optimistically: we’d need to know about 6 weeks prior to on-campus activities starting, which as of now would be early July for most programs, early August for Duke, since, as of the time of this writing, Fuqua has announced that they will be starting classes one month later in hopes that they will be able to accommodate more students then. I expect other schools to follow suit.

“NO ONE can enroll in person; initial MBA classes all online”

What is meant by this scenario? 

This is if BOTH domestic AND international students are NOT allowed to come to the campus; that is, if “social distancing” rules are still in effect, and if there does not appear to be a speedy resolution that will let them come to campus soon after the start of the semester.

In this case, all classes would be online for, let’s say, at least one semester — perhaps two. The reason I estimate this is that even if a vaccine for coronavirus is developed tomorrow (early April 2020), it will still take about a year to be tested, and then, to be manufactured at scale.

In this case, we have two additional possible sub-scenarios:

Enrollment WILL drop, if accepted applicants decide to turn down their spots 

OR

Enrollment WILL NOT drop, if accepted students don’t care about classes being online

A big part of the “MBA experience” (put bluntly: the reason you might be going into a literal mountain of debt to get an MBA) is the in-person bonding / friendships / networking opportunities. It is possible, but difficult, to form the same connections with people online than it is in person — that is, for people you do not yet know.

SOME people will think: “WTF? Why am I going to spend all this money if I might miss out on weeks, months, or more of valuable in-person bonding time! FORGET IT!!! I’m going to withdraw my candidacy and re-apply next year instead, so that I can get that ‘Full MBA Experience’.”

OTHER people will think: “Ok, so this isn’t ideal…but…WHO CARES? A top MBA is a top MBA, and we’ll have plenty of time later on to figure out SOME way to make up for lost time, and we’ll be able to get to know each other / bond after all.”

What will the fall-out be? Who will win / lose?

For the people who say: “I do NOT want to enroll if the classes will be online!”, the winners will be the current R3 applicants and those on the waitlist, since now MBA admissions committees will be scrambling to fill spots that, in any other year, would have been filled. This will be especially true for those who have authorization to live / study in the US (e.g. citizens, legal residents) since they don’t have the visa hurdles international applicants will have.

However, if most people say, “Eh, sure, it’s not great, but I’m not giving up the opportunity to enroll in an MBA program!” then the losers will be the people who scrambled to throw together a R3 application, or those on the current waitlist. That is, even if the format of class delivery would be different under this scenario, from the perspective of: “Will round 3 or applicants on the wait-list have a better chance than usual?”, then the answer is no — it will be the same as in the “Covid-19 resolved by August” scenario.

“ONLY domestic admits can enroll in person; international applicants can / can not join via online courses (temporarily)”

What is meant by this scenario? 

If the “social distancing” measures are loosened up in the U.S. by, say, late July, then domestic (i.e. students with citizenship or legal residency) MAY be able to show up to campus and start taking classes in-person…even if their international classmates are still stuck in a travel ban / visa ban limbo.

In this case, schools could either:

        • Let international students join the classroom via online classes, in the hopes that the travel / visa situation will resolve itself sooner rather than later
              • OR
        • Decide that this creates an unfair situation for international students, and simply have their classes this year be filled with only domestic students

If international students CAN join the domestic students via online classes (temporarily), some of them may be ok with that (in which case, things will be “business as usual” overall), but SOME international students may choose to defer or drop out and re-apply later.

What will the fall-out be? Who will win / lose?

Should some international students decide that attending classes online is not satisfactory and thus do not enroll, then the winners will be other international candidates on the waitlist who WOULD be willing to take those spots. In this scenario, the domestic waitlist may not see much action, since presumably it would be “business as usual” for those admits who can go to campus, but if the schools grant deferrals or if international students decide that they want “The Full In-Person Experience”, then less-picky international wait-listers are in luck.

Now, what about a school like Harvard Business School, that has said that any international students accepted this year, who is unable to enroll on campus in-person, will simply be deferred until the following year? As much as I love HBS and I understand why they are offering this, this is really a true bummer of a situation: first of all, it will mean that VERY FEW international applicants will be accepted during the 2020 – 2021 admissions cycle, because the international student spots will have already been accounted for. So, any international student waiting until this upcoming year to apply…that may be an exercise in futility, and as such, THEY lose out.

The other losers in that scenario are the domestic HBS students, who will miss out on the valuable professional experiences, networking, and friendships with people around the world.

 

Ok! I think I covered the major “buckets” of scenarios here. Of course, I am making sweeping generalizations, but personally I have found it useful to try to organize the scattered scenarios playing out in my head into these major “What if?” categories.

What do you think? Did I miss anything? What did I get right? What did I get wrong? Let me know! Email support@applicantlab.com — AND STAY SAFE, PLEASE!

 

 

The Economist Dis on MBAs: Is the Degree Still Worth It?
How Will COVID-19 Affect MBA Admissions and Enrollment in 2020? Impact on Round 3 Waitlisted and International Applicants (Infographic)
Maria |
April 6, 2020

Episode Transcript

[00:00:00] John Byrne: Hello, everyone. This is John Byrne with Poets& Quants. We have a really cool story to relate to you today. Me and my co host, Maria Wich-Vila and Caroline Diarte Edwards, are going to talk about the most disruptive MBA startups of the year. Every year, Poets& Quants invites the top schools all over the world.

To submit nominations for ventures with what we call the greatest potential for lasting beyond business school. So what we want to do is acknowledge MBAs who have launched really cool companies that are paving the way for the future. And this year, we have 41 student startups that we have honored in what is the sixth annual list of the most disruptive MBA startups.

And they come from all over. We got nominations from Stanford, Wharton, Kellogg, MIT, INSEAD, London Business School and others. And, uh, I think what the basic list shows is that entrepreneurship is alive and well in business schools are a lot of great ideas. A lot of them are powered by AI. No surprise there.

They involve every imaginable industry. There’s a good number of these in the business of health as well as in beverages, consumer products and things like that. And I wonder, Caroline, if you have a favorite among this group, and I bet you it’s going to be an INSEAD startup.

[00:01:30] Caroline Diarte Edwards: Yeah, I have a few favorites, and definitely INSEAD is on my list, although I’m going to start with a London Business School one.

Um, and there were a few international ones that I thought were really interesting. I like the story from kiro, which is a fintech startup, coming out of London Business School, founded by LBS student Alicia Chowdhury. she secured 200, 000 in funding, and it’s the first AI powered financial coach, which is designed to help,

Gen Zed, as I would say, or Gen Z, as you would say. and young adults, get personalized financial guidance. So that’s something that jumped out to me, given that I now have a young adult among my children and trying to teach her financial literacy is somewhat challenging, so I can definitely see the need for that. And she tells a really interesting story about how financial literacy was something that she had struggled with and realized that there was a gap in the market, right? There’s a lot of great financial information out there, but it’s not necessarily tailored and communicated well to young people. And she ended up working in finance before business school.

she doesn’t have a tech background, but she did. Teach herself the fundamentals of AI and machine learning, and she assembled a technical team to work with her. And I thought it was really interesting as well, how she leveraged the LBS resources. And I think a lot of the stories that you have in this article really tell a great deal about the power of business school experience in helping people launch a company. And of course, there’s often a lot of criticism about the value of going to business school. And if you want to be an entrepreneur, there’s no point going to business school. And I think that this article really debunks that. so for example, this is how she benefited from LBS.

She was a finalist in the LBS Launchpad. She completed the LBS Entrepreneurship Summer School. She joined the LBS Incubator. She led the LBS Entrepreneurship Club. And then, of course, she benefited greatly from a lot of the courses that she took at LBS. I got a lot of great advice from LBS faculty, as well as the Institute of Entrepreneurship and Private Capital.

I think a wonderful story about how a student had a vision of something that she wanted to do and saw a gap in the market and really went after it, leveraging that wonderful ecosystem that you get at business school and she’s got a VC group backing her. So that’s one of her investors and Aviva Group is a huge financial company.

I think it sounds very promising. So congratulations to Alicia.

[00:04:11] John Byrne: Yeah, you’re right. One of the things that comes through here is the support that students get from the schools. And their classmates and their professors, it’s a real terrific thing.

As you said before, a lot of people say, hey, if you want to start a company, instead of paying a school tuition, just use that as your seed capital and you’re going to be better off, but the truth is that a business school you’re surrounded by really smart colleagues and people who’ve been through this before and mentorship from professors and seed money from the many venture challenges that occur at different schools can make a very big difference and shift the odds in your favor of success. Maria, do you have a favorite?

[00:04:53] Maria Wich-Vila: Yeah, my favorite.

startup was Cell Mind, which is out of the Johns Hopkins business school. This one really hit home for me personally. What they are trying to do is they are trying to maximize access to a type of cancer therapy called “Car T”. And I have indirectly lived this. We have a good friend from business school who has been battling cancer for several years, and last year there was a complete rollercoaster around  this car T therapy. And I apologize to any doctors if I’m butchering this. But basically, my understanding is that if it works for you, it essentially can cure your cancer or cause it to go into remission. But, if for whatever reason, if your body is too weak at the time that you receive it, it can actually kill you. Unfortunately, it can cause something called a cytokine storm, I think.

And so, the decision of whether to go or no go is obviously one that is very fraught with a lot of, emotion and risk. And so, we actually had a friend who last year was approved for CAR T. But then in the weeks right before they were going to give it to her, they then disapproved her because she had gotten weaker … it was this whole roller coaster.

And so any sort of startup that is doing something to figure out, which patients actually are likely to do well with this therapy? Can we expand our doctors being perhaps understandably a little too cautious because they’re concerned about the negative side effects, perhaps being worse than the.than the cancer itself.

Anything that can help expand access to this is why they were number one in my book. And as you guys were just talking about. Because Johns Hopkins is one of the best, if not the best medical school in the world, this is a great example of a business school student or group of business school students leveraging the resources and the expertise at that overarching institution, trying to find ways to commercialize it, and just make the most of those resources.

I really loved that story.

[00:06:40] John Byrne: Yeah, and that’s what you increasingly find. it’s not a bunch of MBA students doing their thing. It’s reaching out and having these really entrepreneurial collisions with students from other departments, other schools where they have deep expertise in computer science or engineering or medicine or law or public policy or environmental sciences teaming up with MBAs to launch things. which really give them extra power.

One of my favorites comes out of, uh, Chicago Booth. And, it’s sort

a really interesting idea where, first off, it’s called Encore, and it’s a marketplace for high end collectibles. Now, you think, how could that really be a cool thing? What they’ve done is they’ve combined TikTok style videos. With the traditional eBay auction format, to create a really engaging experience for people who want to shop for these collectibles. But what’scool is the MBA who’s behind this. His name is Will Enema, at first thought he shouldn’t apply to Chicago Booth, new venture challenge, because he had already raised a pre seed round and thought that Encore might not be good for that traditional, giving money out kind of program. But, he entered it after he was urged to by a number of professors at Booth. The idea placed second in the competition. He won $350, 000 to help launch his company, but here’s the real kicker:

Within two weeks of that competition, a venture capitalist who participated in the judging agreed to lead their seed round. So it just shows you how, incredible things can happen, in the environment of a business school.

Now, Caroline, I’m sure you have others that you really thought were really cool. Name another one.

[00:08:29] Caroline Diarte Edwards: Yeah. So my second one is of course, an INSEAD startup and it’s called faceflow. ai. And I really liked this one because it’s an AI powered skincare platform. So again, relating it to my personal experience of having four daughters who are constantly clamoring for the. latest ridiculous beauty product that they’ve seen on Instagram.

I think this is a fantastic idea.

What it does is it actually gives you scientifically based product recommendations, right? So they have for the two founders, Daniel Patel and Simon Zhang, Patel had previously founded a marketplace for international skincare brands. So he knew the skin, the beauty industry, skincare products.

And then his partner, Simon, is an experienced AI engineer, and so they’ve combined their expertise to bring AI to skincare recommendations. And it’s underway. I checked out their website. I have signed up already. The product is not yet available, but I’m looking forward to when it comes through.

And they won the INSEAD French competition and, talk about how they’ve benefited from the very entrepreneurial environment at INSEAD,

I really enjoyed reading about their experience and I’m excited to learn more about their products.

[00:09:49] John Byrne: Yeah, absolutely. And now

Maria, I know there are 2 Harvard startups on the list from your alma mater. did you pick 1 of them as your 2nd choice?

[00:10:00] Maria Wich-Vila: It was not necessarily my 2nd choice, but there was 1 called Vulcan Investments. This is a little bit out of my, Wheelhouse. So I think we all tend to gravitate towards something we know or something we have experience with, but it’s trying to figure out how to solve the rare earth magnet problem. Right now. A lot of these rare earth materials that are powering modern technologies are coming from China, which poses several challenges, especially should relations with that country not go well in the future. So this is trying to solve for that issue. I think that was a really interesting one.

But actually, my second choice was one that again, I have indirect personal experience with, albeit in a different way. It was called Yogger. What they’re trying to do is, I believe it’s taking your phone to watch you as you perform exercise then give you feedback on, your gait, your form, et cetera.

And this was really interesting to me, not so much because of exercise, although I wish it were (ha ha) (though: side note, my dad was a track and cross country coach for decades and I totally forgot about that in the moment, but I should have mentioned that!!! D’oh!!!), but who knows, maybe this will motivate me to jog more (har har har).

In the interview with the entrepreneur. he talked about how you can do things like a gait analysis right now, in other words, tracking how your legs move when you are running or jogging, and then providing an analysis, but these sorts of things are very difficult to get to. It’s expensive. You need to be set up with, they put a whole bunch of sensors on all of your joints. and I have a friend who has a child with cerebral palsy and they’ve had to do these, go to actually Hopkins (this is not a Hopkins based startup, it’s from Tuck, Dartmouth Tuck), but they’ve (my friends, I mean) had to go to Hopkins and actually have these, it’s a day long thing to set up your child with the different sensors. And so the thought of using something as simple as an iPhone app, perhaps, machine learning, et cetera. all that good stuff to analyze your gait and make this accessible. It’s not only I think useful for casual exercise enthusiasts, but I think it could also have ramifications and uses even in other areas. For example, kids with special needs. So I was really excited about this one.

John Byrne:

MIT Sloan has three startups on our list this year.

That’s more than any other school. And one of the really cool ones is called Vertical Horizons. This is an incredibly ambitious startup. It’s all about commercializing high density, high efficiency power supplies for AI computing. Essentially, it’s a semiconductor company. and you might not think that an MBA would be involved in actually creating a semiconductor company.

But it’s founded by Cynthia Allen, an MBA in the class of 2024 at Sloan and one of her professors. So it’s a good example of where university develop some sort of new technology or new insights. And then needs to commercialize it. And in this case, you have an MBA coming along, who has a great interest in this, and is helping to commercialize it. The actual idea of it has 4 million in research grant funding to develop the technology. So there’s a good amount of money behind this very ambitious idea.

I think, stepping away from the individual startups, what I think this says about, the ability of people who want to go to business school and use that experience as an incubator to launch a startup, it’s alive and well, it’s a great way to launch a company because it does take a lot of risk off the table and these startups, these 41 startups that these different business schools really give you a great insight into what different people are doing.

Caroline, I’m sure, and Maria as well, you probably meet a number of people in your practices, that want to use an MBA to do a startup. Do you think they’re ready to take full advantage of these experiences?

Caroline Diarte Edwards:

Yeah, I certainly hear from a lot of candidates who are hoping to launch a venture. Some of them want to do it as soon as they graduate and for some of them it’s more of a longer term ambition because of course financing can be a challenge.

Especially if you’ve invested a lot in taking on a lot of debt with your MBA and a lot of the themes that I hear, candidates are interested in come through in your article as well. So it’s noticeable that there are quite a few startups in your list that address, healthcare issues as Maria highlighted, also education, environmental challenges. And I think those are three areas that I hear a lot about from candidates in terms of where they would really like to have an impact.

And I think, something else that is noticeable is that a lot of them are really trying to have a positive impact on the world as well. They’re really trying to address,  fundamental societal challenges, many of them, which I think is wonderful from health care, mental health issues, pollution. et cetera. There’s a lot of really interesting, and important issues that are being addressed by some of these startups. and, I think it’s wonderful that we have this young generation, going through business school who are ready tackle these challenges that that they have inherited from our generation.

John Byrne:

Yeah. And these ideas are going way beyond, some of the earlier ideas of five, 10 years ago, hookup apps and match.com, uh, wannabes and things like that. some of these ideas are remarkably sophisticated and elegant as well.

Maria, last words.

Maria Wich-Vila:

I think that this article not only is very optimistic in terms of these amazing ideas that are out there, but I also like that it shows that there are so many different paths to entrepreneurship through the MBA that first of all, number one, the NBA is valuable for entrepreneurship, which, as you noted a second ago, is often a stereotype that that exists that, oh, I don’t need this. but also there are so many different MBA programs out there. Look at the range of schools that are creating these amazing startups. Look at the fact, one of the, Stanford ones, the student was not an MBA student. They were an MSx student.

Sometimes I’ll meet people who are a little bit on the older side who are applying and they’re like, I have to do the two year program and I’m like, no, you can… you just need to get your foot in the door and even if it’s that MSxs program, it’s one year versus two years. For example, you can, you just need to get to a university that’s going to teach you the things you need and give you the resources and then you can take it from there.

So I, the other thing I really appreciate about this article is showing the breadth of programs and the breadth of students and the breadth of backgrounds of these students who are creating incredible new companies.

[00:16:37] John Byrne: Yeah, check it out. It’s called most disruptive MBA startups of 2025, and it’s on the Poets& Quants website.

If you are interested in doing a startup, I think you’ll learn a lot about how business school can help you make it a reality. This is John Byrne with Poets& Quants. You’ve been listening to Business Casual, our weekly podcast.

Maria

New around here? I’m an HBS graduate and a proud member (and former Board Member) of AIGAC. I considered opening a high-end boutique admissions consulting firm, but I wanted to make high-quality admissions advice accessible to all, so I “scaled myself” by creating ApplicantLab. ApplicantLab provides the SAME advice as high-end consultants at a much more affordable price. Read our rave reviews on GMATClub, and check out our free trial (no credit card required) today!